This alert expired on 5 July 2026 at 23:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 61 recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026 — 7 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 8 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued July 5 at 4:37PM EDT until July 5 at 7:45PM EDT by NWS State College PA
An estimated 633,621 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- June 14, 2026 · score 48 · 3.8 km
- August 6, 2026 · score 48 · 12.1 km
- July 10, 2026 · score 43 · 14.2 km
How we know
Confirmed by 12 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 48 out of 100, at 88 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 48 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 88% |
| Coordinates | 40.6017, -79.6291 |
| Nearest City | Plum (15 km) |
| Population Exposed | 633.6K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-05T20:37:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flash Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3678a962345a997a3970e803599e0173 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Centre, PA; Huntingdon, PA; Armstrong, PA; Clarion, PA; Jefferson, PA; Allegheny, PA; Beaver, PA; Butler, PA; Washington, PA; Westmoreland, PA; Hancock, WV and 9 more areas |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued July 5 at 4:37PM EDT until July 5 at 7:45PM EDT by NWS State College PA |
| Expires | 2026-07-05T19:45:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS State College PA |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 12 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3678a962345a997a3970e803599e01737ee0d612.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ae201eef81d3f706985862940d82a70a1baa8cb7.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.572892cebd7039e36c286dc16205602bbac02f11.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.eca6d12383d8d302fa39dc7d821f794ad935111e.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.27d2a7151f63d22631ce8d28cf032ef6b10f92bb.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5ded0179d6d48b1f57b9453409a1c7614f5c2720.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d8d523f5f669b26f2eb19f43e3802ebadaf96325.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b5e177b97daf5f94159169c09c4a239a5b11c04d.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.49a8e05d2bb19ff0ec73eca000a705164a9eb2b7.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e0a2e83d5d86d6f019527ad937ee7b0bd521b39f.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3f59c777b1061fd53e1ef81e62141435cee1bb05.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ef98b0e69fb389eacf9e04e80140dde7135bd186.001.1"] |
| Iem TypeSummary | D |
| Iem City | 2 NNE New Galilee |
| Iem County | Lawrence |
| Iem State | PA |
| Iem Wfo | PBZ |
| Iem Remark | Wires blown down and sparking with flames visible. |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_D_40.890_-80.330_1783278300000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783278300000,"latitude":40.89,"longitude":-80.33},{"id":"iem_F_40.850_-80.400_1783280040000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783280040000,"latitude":40.85,"longitude":-80.4},{"id":"iem_F_41.090_-80.090_1783281540000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783281540000,"latitude":41.09,"longitude":-80.09},{"id":"iem_F_41.000_-80.340_1783279500000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783279500000,"latitude":41,"longitude":-80.34},{"id":"iem_D_40.910_-79.740_1783282080000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783282080000,"latitude":40.91,"longitude":-79.74},{"id":"iem_F_41.040_-80.030_1783280580000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783280580000,"latitude":41.04,"longitude":-80.03},{"id":"iem_F_41.060_-80.060_1783279320000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783279320000,"latitude":41.06,"longitude":-80.06},{"id":"iem_D_40.920_-80.360_1783278000000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783278000000,"latitude":40.92,"longitude":-80.36},{"id":"iem_F_41.060_-80.060_1783279500000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783279500000,"latitude":41.06,"longitude":-80.06},{"id":"iem_D_40.820_-80.040_1783280880000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783280880000,"latitude":40.82,"longitude":-80.04},{"id":"iem_D_40.860_-80.390_1783277820000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783277820000,"latitude":40.86,"longitude":-80.39}] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 48/100, near Plum (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.